The 'Trickle-Down' Lie
By Thomas Sowell
New
York's new mayor, Bill de Blasio, in his inaugural speech, denounced people
"on the far right" who "continue to preach the virtue of
trickle-down economics." According to Mayor de Blasio, "They believe
that the way to move forward is to give more to the most fortunate, and that
somehow the benefits will work their way down to everyone else."
If there is ever a contest for the
biggest lie in politics, this one should be a top contender.
While there have been all too many
lies told in politics, most have some little tiny fraction of truth in them, to
make them seem plausible. But the
"trickle-down" lie is 100 percent lie.
It
should win the contest both because of its purity -- not contaminating speck of
truth -- and because of how many people have repeated it over the years,
without any evidence being asked for or given.
Years
ago, this column challenged anybody to quote any economist outside of an insane
asylum who had ever advocated this "trickle-down" theory. Some readers said that somebody said that somebody
else had advocated a "trickle-down" policy. But they could never name
that somebody else and quote them.
Mayor de Blasio is by no means the
first politician to denounce this non-existent theory. Back in 2008,
presidential candidate Barack Obama attacked what he called "an economic
philosophy" which "says we
should give more and more to those with the most and hope that prosperity
trickles down to everyone else."
Let's do something completely
unexpected: Let's stop and think. Why
would anyone advocate that we "give" something to A in hopes
that it would trickle down to B? Why
in the world would any sane person not give it to B and cut out the
middleman? But all this is moot, because
there was no trickle-down theory about giving something to anybody in the first
place.
The "trickle-down" theory cannot be found in even
the most voluminous scholarly studies of economic theories -- including J.A.
Schumpeter's monumental "History of Economic Analysis," more than a
thousand pages long and printed in very small type.
It
is not just in politics that the non-existent "trickle-down" theory
is found. It has been attacked in the New York Times, in the Washington Post
and by professors at prestigious American universities -- and even as far away
as India. Yet none
of those who denounce a "trickle-down" theory can quote anybody who
actually advocated it.
The
book "Winner-Take-All Politics" refers to "the 'trickle-down'
scenario that advocates of helping the have-it-alls with tax cuts and other
goodies constantly trot out." But no one who actually trotted out any such
scenario was cited, much less quoted.
One
of the things that provoke the left into bringing out the
"trickle-down" bogeyman is any suggestion that there are limits to
how high they can push tax rates on people with high incomes, without causing
repercussions that hurt the economy as a whole.
But, contrary to Mayor de Blasio,
this is not a view confined to people on the "far right." Such liberal icons as Presidents John F.
Kennedy and Woodrow Wilson likewise argued that tax rates can be so high that
they have an adverse effect on the economy. In his 1919 address to Congress, Woodrow
Wilson warned that, at some point, "high
rates of income and profits taxes discourage energy, remove the incentive to
new enterprise, encourage extravagant expenditures, and produce industrial
stagnation with consequent unemployment and other attendant evils."
In a 1962 address to Congress,
John F. Kennedy said, "it is a
paradoxical truth that tax rates are too high today and tax revenues are too
low and the soundest way to raise the revenues in the long run is to cut the
rates now."
This was not a new idea. John Maynard Keynes said, back in 1933, that
"taxation may be so high as to defeat its object," that in the long
run, a reduction of the tax rate "will run a better chance, than an
increase, of balancing the budget." And Keynes was not on "the far
right" either.
The time is long overdue for people to ask
themselves why it is necessary for those on the left to make up a lie if what
they believe in is true.
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