F.A. Hayek and Why Government Can't Manage Society, Part II
By Richard Ebeling - June 30, 2015
It is seventy years, now, since near the end of the Second
World War Austrian economist, and much later Nobel Prize winner, Friedrich A.
Hayek published his most famous article, "The Use of Knowledge in
Society," in September 1945, demonstrating why it is impossible for a
system of socialist central planning to effectively manage a complex and
ever-changing economy better than a functioning, competitive free market order.
All the necessary knowledge to comprehensively and successfully
plan an entire society does not exist in any one place or in the mind of any
one person or group of people. Instead, the knowledge of the world is
dispersed and decentralized among all the minds of all the people in the world.
To effectively utilize it for all to benefit it is essential to rely
upon the market and the competitive price system, through which
everyone is able to communicate with each other for the minimal amount of
information to coordinate their activities with all the others in society.
Hayek's Message About Prices Still Relevant in a
Post-Socialist World
With the failure and implosion of Soviet-style socialist central
planning, Hayek and other thinkers like him were shown to have been
right. Socialist central planning is dead, relegated, to use Marx's phrase, to
the "dustbin of history."
The issues confronting societies, now, are not markets
versus socialist planning but the form that markets can take on, and in this setting
the
degree to which government should or can regulate and intervene into the
workings of the market system.
Influencing and moving markets in one direction compared to
another through government regulatory and fiscal policies are a far cry, it is
said, from the "old days" of those calling for and predicting the
"end of capitalism."
But a logical extension of Hayek's argument against central planning is
that any interferences with the price system or the autonomy of market
participants to act on their own best judgment in their respective local
circumstances of time and place must necessarily prevent the "knowledge
problem" of economic coordination from being most effectively solved.
Prices, in other words, need to be able to tell the truth: What
are the actual demands of market participants for various consumer goods and
services, and what are the actual available supplies and alternative demands
for the scarce means of production with which those desired consumer and other
goods may be manufactured (what economists called the "opportunity
costs" of the land, resources, labor and capital in their competing uses
on the supply side of the market)?
Interest Rate Manipulation Distorts Savings and
Investment Decisions
Market rates of interest represent a critical network of
prices. Hayek made his early reputation as a money and business cycle theorist
in opposition to Keynes's policy proposals for "activist"
monetary and fiscal policy.
Hayek argued that market-based interest rates are essential for
coordinating the decisions of income earners concerning how much of their
income and wealth to divide between consumption and savings with the decisions
of potential borrowers desiring to use the savings of others to undertake
time-consuming investment projects that will bring forth desired consumer goods
at some point in the future.
Monetary central planners through the central banking system
attempt to influence interest rates and the types and amounts of investment
spending through increasing the quantity of money in the banking system. The
artificially lowered interest rates reduce the cost of borrowing and raise the
prospective profitability of possible investment projects that would not have
seemed worth undertaking at a higher market-established rate of interest.
The increase in the money supply creates the illusion that
there is more savings available to be borrowed to start, complete and sustain
investment projects than there are actual real saved resources to do so.
Borrowers and investors are misinformed by an important
market signal to use their special and localized knowledge of time and place in
misdirected ways that are inconsistent and eventually unsustainable with the
real amount and types of scarce resources with which to undertake their
investment projects, given people's actual decisions to save portions of their
income, and thus "free up" a certain amount of resources for
future-oriented production.
Precisely because the multitudes of individuals
participating in the social system of division of labor cannot know all the others
with whom they are interdependent in the complex networks of supply and demand,
and therefore directly know what others are planning to do with their income
and resources, everyone is dependent on the truthfulness of the price system through
which all those individuals coordinate their diverse decisions and actions.
By falsifying interest rates – the inter-temporal prices
connecting savings choices with investment decisions – governments and central banks
potentially set in motion distortions and imbalances in the use of resources,
capital and labor that manifest themselves in the form the booms and busts of
the business cycle.
Government manipulation of prices, therefore, can be just as
disruptive as the abolition of prices by political edict. Just as automobile traffic on the
road system would be chaotic if the traffic lights were turned off, it can be
equally disruptive and dangerous if red lights are turned to green when the
perpendicular traffic at an intersection is simultaneously given a green light
signal as well.
Minimum Wage Laws Cause Unemployment and Distort
Resource Use
The same applies with the recent political push to raise the U.S.
minimum wage law from its current level to $15 per hour or more.
Critics of the minimum wage increase have rightly emphasized that doing so will
potentially drive many marginal workers out of their existing jobs and prevent
other jobs from ever materializing.
Setting a minimum wage below which no worker may be legally employed
runs the risk of pricing out of the market those unskilled or low-skilled
workers who employers find contribute a value to their production activities
less than what the government mandates they are to be paid.
None of us pays more
for something than we think it to be worth. This applies no less to
employers whose only means of paying those they employ are the revenues they
earn from selling products and services to the buying public. For an
enterpriser to remain in business, costs of production cannot persistently be
above the revenues received from sales of goods and services to consumers.
Labor costs are no less a determinant of profit or loss than other expenses of
doing business.
But besides this, the manipulation of wage rates through
minimum wage laws also influences and disrupts the use of scarce resources in
comparison to their allocation in a purely market-determined network of wages
for different types and skills of labor.
Minimum Wage Can Result in Capital Replacing Labor
When Not Needed
A number of both advocates and critics of a minimum wage
increase have pointed out that some businesses have suggested that raising
labor costs in this manner may result in replacing some workers with capital.
Computer tablets at restaurant counters can replace waiters
and waitresses in taking orders conveyed to the cooks and chefs in the kitchen
(as has already been happening in some places). And in Japan they have even
been experimenting with robots that bring food orders to the counter or the
restaurant tables in place of human servers.
All of this may end up being a market-based "wave of
the future" to the extent that an aging and retiring population makes
certain types of labor more scarce and expensive to employ over time. The
demands for labor and their rising cost of employment over many decades in the
twentieth century was a major factor behind the reduction in domestic servants
in middle class households and their replacement with laborsaving home
appliances and conveniences to do everyday housework.
Another example is how the greater cost efficiencies of
office and laptop computers resulted, over time, in the disappearance of large
numbers of secretaries employed in the "typing pools" of many large
and small businesses throughout the economy.
By artificially raising the price and therefore the cost of
certain types of labor through minimum wage legislation, the price system for
workers no longer is fully telling the truth about who is available for work
and at what market-determined wages to assist producers and enterprisers on
deciding what would be the most appropriate use and combinations of labor and
capital given the real, underlying supply and demand conditions in the market.
Capital that would be more profitably and efficiently
utilized in other sectors of the economy will be drawn into these labor-saving
activities due to the government imposing this higher wage floor for labor.
This may occur, as a consequence, years or decades before the market would have
determined that this was the best use for scarce laborsaving capital resources,
and in some cases when it might never have been profitably desirable to
redirect capital into those uses at all, if not for the minimum law.
So by manipulating workers' wages through minimum wage
legislation, people will, again, potentially make misdirected decisions on how
best to use their local knowledge of their own particular place and
circumstances in the market because the price of hiring labor will not be
telling the truth.
Government Regulations Prevent the Use of Personal
Knowledge
This is no less the case with government production regulations and
restrictions. In a dynamic market, individuals are constantly coming up
with new ideas based on changing supply and demand situations that create the
incentives and profit-oriented alertness to discover and imagine new
possibilities about what products to produce and how to produce them.
In a world in which
change seems to come swift and fast, flexibility and adaptability to such
change are keys to business success in meeting and beating the competition in
capturing consumer sales. Compare the market world of today with that of
twenty or ten or even five years ago, and you see the technological discoveries
and applications that have transformed everyday life in ways that we often
forget to fully appreciate since they have already become so taken for granted.
It has been pointed out that in the U.S. the private sector
spends about $2 trillion a year on compliance with government regulations,
which in the Code of Federal Regulations take up over 175,000 pages of rules,
commands, restrictions and prohibitions.
Businessmen and those they
employ must apply their knowledge and time to meet the demands of politicians
and bureaucrats rather than utilizing them toward consumer-oriented production,
innovation and improvement in all that their enterprises do.
At the same time, these thousands of pages of regulations
serve as straightjackets that limit and inhibit entrepreneurial ability
to take advantage of the changing circumstances of time and place because any
and all responses, changes and adjustments are confined within the existing
permissible rules and regulations imposed on the marketplace by the heavy hand
of government.
Of course, appreciating the full impact of this is
impossible to completely know precisely because it is part of what Frederic
Bastiat explained as the
"unseen." These are all those market activities and
outcomes that never occur, or at least not in their entirety, because the
regulatory structure prevents or modifies all the forms they would have taken
on in a more free-market institutional environment.
That we cannot fully see or know all of these
"might-have-beens" if not for government regulation does not
any the less change the fact that individuals in the marketplace are prevented
or restricted in how best to use the knowledge that they only possess and which
the government regulators can never know or appreciate in the same way
each of the individuals in the market do in their respective places in the
division of labor.
The More Complex the Society, the Less Government Can
Do Successfully
Another way of saying all of this is that Hayek challenged the entire
trend of collectivist thinking and policy advocacy – whether
in the form of central planning or price and production interventionism – by
emphasizing the limits on what man can successfully command and control in the
social and economic order of things.
For decades the socialists and interventionists argued that
the more complex the society the less it could be left to the unhampered
workings of the market system. The more intricate the social order and people's
relationships in it, the more there needed to be a centralized political
guiding hand to assure that it did not fall into chaos and disharmony.
Hayek turned this argument on its head. He insisted that the more complex
the social and economic system the less any single or handful of human minds
could comprehend, master or manipulate the relationships for better outcomes
than when the market was left free.
If we wish to use all of that ever more complex "knowledge of the
world" for the benefit of all, we must leave alone those who possess it in
decentralized fragments, and who know best its use through their own actions
and interactions in their corners of society. We need to allow all of
that dispersed knowledge to be effectively coordinated in an increasingly
global community of commerce, culture and creativity through the mechanism of
competitively formed market prices to give each the minimal amount of necessary
information about all the others with whom they are interdependent so to
integrate what each does with the actions of everyone else.
In "The Use of Knowledge in Society," Hayek
summarizes his argument:
We must look at the price system as . . . a mechanism for
communicating information if we want to understand its real function . . . The
most significant fact about this system is the economy of knowledge with which
it operates, and how little the individual participants need to know in order
to be able to take the right action . . .
It is more than a metaphor to describe the price system as a kind of
machinery for registering change, or a system of telecommunications which
enables individual producers to watch the mere the movement of a few pointers,
as an engineer might watch the hands of a few dials, in order to adjust their
activities to change of which they may never know more than is reflected in the
price movement.
Hayek went on to
refer to the "marvel" of all the complex knowledge and actions of
multitudes of millions of people the price system successfully and constantly
tends to coordinate even in the face of continual unanticipated and uncertain
change. Hayek said:
I have deliberately used the word 'marvel' to shock the reader out
of the complacency with which we often take the working of this mechanism for
granted. I am convinced that if it were the result of deliberate human design,
and if the people guided by the price change understood that their decisions
have significance far beyond their immediate aim, this mechanism would have
been acclaimed as one of the greatest triumphs of the human mind.
Of course, the competitive price system is not the creation
or design of a grand council or benevolent king. Trade, competition and prices
emerged "spontaneously" out of people searching for avenues and
opportunities to improve their circumstances through discovered mutually
advantageous exchange.
The Significance of Hayek's Contribution to Human
Knowledge
The fact that the market price system has emerged and
evolved over centuries and not been created by the fanfare of a political
command makes most people not even realize its importance, with it
being taken for granted like language, or customs and manners, all of which
makes society and social life possible but are also not the designs of
political leaders.
Looking over the last seven decades since the appearance of
Hayek's "Use of Knowledge in Society," we can now appreciate that in
retrospect it represents one of the most important contributions to man's
understanding of how the world in which he lives and works is made possible
without the guiding hand of government command.
And just how relevant his argument remains today in the face of
political regulations and controls that prevent that "marvelous"
price system from most effectively integrating and coordinating the actions of
billions of people whose freedom to use their own bits of unique knowledge and
knowhow is critical for the continuing advancement of mankind.
Dr. Richard Ebeling is the BB&T
Distinguished Professor of Ethics and Free Enterprise Leadership at The Citadel
in Charleston, South Carolina. - www.thedailybell.com