Has the Government Competence Bubble
Finally Burst? Or the Government Cares Bubble?
I remember how the critics attacked George Bush and his
administration after the FEMA response to Hurricane Katrina. Much of the anger
was probably deserved.
But how does that look now?
Obamacare is not a botched response to a disaster. It is the
disaster.
Right now it looks like thousands of people believe
they have been signed up for Medicaid that are in for a nasty surprise
when they go to the doctor. Millions are losing their insurance.
Many
millions more, the employees of small businesses, will lose their insurance in 2014.
Many are
discovering insurance is less affordable as a result of the law. The
Disaster!
Dare we hope that the Government competence and caring bubbles have
finally burst?
Bubbles are created when people become convinced that there
is money to be made in an investment. People become convinced that internet
companies are golden, or that housing prices will never go down in value. Because
they are deluded, they create feedback that confirms their irrational
exuberance. As more people invested in internet stocks, the price of
those stocks went up, and confirmed to the credulous that internet stocks were
a great investment. As people bought more houses because they believed that
housing prices would rise, they drove up property values and thus confirmed the
idea that housing was always going to go up.
But eventually someone realized that there were not enough
buyers who could afford those expensive homes. As soon as a few people began
selling their properties to avoid future losses the market value of homes
tanked. People lost their faith in the bubble.
Liberals constantly trot out past accomplishments of our government as
evidence that our government is competent and caring enough to take care of all
other problems or perceived inequalities. If the government ever failed
to meet expectations, each party could blame the other one for messing up the
system and double down on their promises that, if only they were granted
overwhelming power in government, they could turn the situation around.
Like a banker sighing over the sunny days of 2005 when the
housing bubble was in its prime, Barack Obama appealed to the past glories of
the Welfare-Warfare State to justify a government that “works.”
"Now, there are some who question the scale of our ambitions,
who suggest that our system cannot tolerate too many big plans. Their
memories are short, for they have forgotten what this country has already done,
what free men and women can achieve when imagination is joined to common
purpose, and necessity to courage."
He is not completely wrong. The government appeared to score
major successes largely because the majority of Americans, from the
“Progressive” Era onward, had a naïve faith in government competence and caring.
It was unsustainable (and the programs themselves, like social security and the
Federal Reserve, have proven to be unsustainable to anyone who looks at what
they are doing), but the irrational euphoria gave government an advantage at the time.
Now it has crashed.
Or has it?
The Democrats in Congress gave Obama a three-day deadline to
fix the problem of cancelled insurance policies or else they will cooperate
with the Republicans. Republicans need forcefully communicate that this is
not just an accident that we can fix and move on from. This is what happens
when you give a central authority so much authority and control over so much of
the economy. Democrats are responsible for this mess NOT just because of
their moral character, but because they are the party that believes
in central government control as the salvation of the nation.
Will Republicans take this opportunity to really attempt to win over
the hearts and minds of Americans to a new way of thinking about government?
Or will they try to bail out the bubble?
NOTE: Obama announced this a.m. he will allow people who have not yet been canceled, to continue in their current plan...unfolding.
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